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Registry 01 · Domain

RAND Network · Research Domain

Climate

Seventy-five years of patient work, and a door held open for you.

Adaptation, resilience, and decision-making under deep climate uncertainty.

Brief / 01

Context record

Climate research at RAND is organized around adaptation under deep uncertainty, designing decisions that perform well across the range of plausible climate futures, not the single most-likely one.

Through the Frederick S. Pardee Center for Longer Range Global Policy and the Future Human Condition, RAND has produced two decades of work on decision-making under deep uncertainty, most notably Robert Lempert's Robust Decision Making framework, which has been adopted by water utilities, coastal planners, and national climate-adaptation programs worldwide.

RAND's Signature Themes in Climate

Robust Decision Making for climate

Strategies for water, coastal, and infrastructure investment that hold up across thousands of climate scenarios, not optimized for a single forecast.

Water resilience

Drought, supply variability, and the governance of water systems under accelerating climate stress.

Coastal adaptation

Sea-level rise, storm surge, and the planning horizons of cities and regions that cannot relocate.

Climate and national security

How climate-driven instability propagates into migration, conflict, and force-posture decisions.

Representative Work

  • Shaping the Next One Hundred Years

    RAND · MR-1626

  • Making Good Decisions Without Predictions

    RAND · RB-9701

  • Louisiana's 2017 Coastal Master Plan

    RAND · with CPRA

Methodological Emphasis

Robust Decision Making, exploratory modeling, and scenario discovery under deep uncertainty.

Methodological Lineage →

Affiliated Researchers